Who Will Win Big At The 92nd Academy Awards?
Soho House, House Notes, January 2020
Soho House West Hollywood member Dave Karger, host for Turner Classic Movies and a special correspondent for IMDB, shares his predictions ahead of Sunday’s awards.
‘I think this year’s Academy Awards will be remembered as the year that a lot of established veterans were recognized,’ says Soho House West Hollywood member Dave Karger, a host for Turner Classic movies, a special correspondent for IMDB. ‘Unfortunately, that means it'll also be remembered as the year not many non-white people were nominated for acting, and no women were nominated for directing,’ he says. ‘It feels a bit like a step backwards, but there still are many fantastic films and performances that were nominated.’
Here, Karger shares his predictions for the 92nd Annual Academy Awards Ceremony, which airs on Sunday, February 9 at 5pm PST and 8pm EST on ABC. Tune in or watch with us at our Houses around the globe — we’re hosting viewing parties at Ludlow House, Soho House New York, Little Beach House, Soho Warehouse, Soho Beach House, Soho House Toronto, Soho House Amsterdam, Soho House Berlin, 40 Greek Street and Soho House Hong Kong.
BEST PICTURE
Predicted winner: 1917
‘Unlike a lot of major categories this year, Best Picture is a real race. It’s turned into a three-way race between Once Upon A Time in Hollywood, 1917, and Parasite. I’m feeling like 1917 has all the momentum right now so I think it’ll end up winning. But at least Parasite will take Best International Feature and Once Upon A Time will win a handful of Oscars too.’
BEST DIRECTOR
Predicted winner: Sam Mendes
‘In recent years, Best Picture and Best Director have gone to two different movies, like last year with Green Book winning for picture and Alfonso Cuarón winning for director. That could happen again if Bong Joon-Ho wins this category. But the technical achievement of 1917 is so impressive that I think Sam Mendes will take it.’
BEST ACTOR
Predicted winner: Joaquin Phoenix‘
For better or worse, the acting categories seem to be pretty sewn up right now. I don't see how anyone could beat Jaoquin Phoenix, especially given the fact that Joker got the most nominations of any movie this year. Joaquin was already the frontrunner, but now he's unbeatable.’
BEST ACTRESS
Predicted winner: Renée Zellweger
‘Best Actress, I think, is a race between two previous Oscar winners, Renée Zellweger and Charlize Theron, who both transformed into real people with astonishing results. And although I really loved Charlize Theron's performance as Megyn Kelly in Bombshell, I think there's something about Renée Zellweger as Judy Garland in Judy that really speaks to the Oscar voters, and it's such a remarkable transformation that I think she'll win.’
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Predicted winner: Brad Pitt
‘Best Supporting Actor is fascinating this year because all five of the nominees are Oscar-winners. But, unlike the other four, Brad Pitt has never won an Oscar for acting — his Oscar is for producing 12 Years A Slave. So, I think that helps his case, and he is so terrific in Once Upon a Time in Hollywood that I think he'll be part of a sweep for that movie.’
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Predicted winner: Laura Dern
‘Best Supporting Actress has a clear frontrunner as well: Laura Dern. And in this case, I don't think there's anyone even close to her. I think this will be the biggest landslide of any of the acting races. She's beloved in the industry, she's on the Board of Governors of the Academy, but first and foremost, she's phenomenal and hilarious in Marriage Story, and I think this will be the big win for that film on Oscar night.’
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Predicted winner: Quentin Tarantino
‘For this category, I think it’s going to be Quentin Tarantino. He already has two Oscars for Original Screenplay, so he's proven that he's an Academy favorite, and I think what he achieved with Once Upon a Time in Hollywood is so remarkable that he's really the frontrunner.’
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Predicted winner: The Irishman
‘This one is between Steve Zaillian for The Irishman and Greta Gerwig for Little Women. I could see either of them winning. The genius of Little Women is in Greta Gerwig's screenplay, so it has a great shot, but I think the scope of The Irishman could give Steve Zaillian the edge, and he has won an Oscar before for writing Schindler's List, so my prediction is The Irishman.’